This is a followup article to the recent one about how many DGW players you need for week 16. In this article, I’m attempting to look at the match ups for the double game teams. WARNING, there will be a few more numbers used in this one.
In week 16, Portland, Vancouver, Colorado, and Montreal have double games. At first glance, Vancouver and Montreal may seem like the obvious top teams in this group, but is that the case?
Keep Reading for more.
- Home vs Dallas: Portland has played 6 home games. During this time they have scored 10 home goals and only conceded 5. This means they are scoring 1 goal every 0.60 games and let in less than 1 goal per game (1 every 1.20 games). Dallas has played 6 away games. During this time they scored 10 goals and conceded 11. This looks like a promising game for the Portland offense but the Dallas offense may be a challenge for the Portland defense.
- Away vs LA: Portland has played 8 away games. During this time they have scored 14 goals, and conceded 11. This means they are scoring 1 goal every 0.57 games and let in 1 goal every 0.73 games. LA has played 6 home games. During this time they scored 12 and only conceded 2. Since LA has one of the best records for scoring and conceding goals at home, this game COULD be a challenge for Portland. I only say could because LA has looked very leaky recently and this could carry over to their home form with out Gonzalez.
Top Prospects: Harrington looks like the best defensive option if they can grab at least one clean sheet. In midfield, Will Johnson and Diego Valeri are our picks.
- Away vs Columbus: Montreal has played 6 away games. During this time they have scored 8 goals and conceded 8. This means they are scoring 1 goal every 0.75 games and also let in 1 goal per 0.75 games. Columbus has played 6 home games. During this time they scored 6 and conceded 9. This looks to be the easiest game for Montreal in week 16 with a good chance to score but a clean sheet might not happen since Columbus has averaged 1 goal per home game.
- Home vs Houston: Montreal has played 6 home games. During this time they have scored 14 goals and conceded 7. This means they are scoring 1 goal every 0.43 games (over 2 goals per game) and also let in 1 goal per 0.86 games. Houston has played 7 away games. During this time they scored 10 and also conceded 8. This looks like another good game for the Montreal offense, but a clean sheet is again could be at risk.
Top Prospects: The obvious offensive pick is forward Marco Di Vaio. After that, Justin Mapp is the best midfield choice. If you’re willing to take a defensive risk, Matteo Ferrari, would be my first pick. The only X factor is that Montreal was also playing in the Canadian cup earlier in the year. Now that that is over, they may get some of that early defensive form back.
- Home vs New England: Vancouver has played 6 home games. During this time they have scored 11 and conceded 7. This means they are scoring 1 goal every 0.55 games (almost 2 per game) and also let in 1 goal per 0.86 games. New England has played 6 away games. During this time they scored 4 conceded 5. Vancouver has a good offense at home, but New England has the best defensive record in the league. This will be a tough game, but one that is more promising for defenders.
- Home vs Chivas: Vancouver is the only team with 2 home games so their stats are the same. Chivas has played 6 away games. During this time they scored 5 and conceded 12. This is a good looking game for both Vancouver’s offense and defense, in fact, it could be the best looking game of the week.
Top Prospects: On defense, I have to go with Andy O’Brien over Lee (O’Brien may now be an injury risk so keep an eye on him). The real problem is Vancouver has few midfield and forward standouts. Just based on current form, my best suggestions are Russell Teibert and Camilo Sanvezzo.
- Home vs San Jose: Colorado has played 7 home games. During this time they have scored 9 goals and conceded 7. This means they are scoring 1 goal every 0.78 games and have let in 1 goal every game (on average). San Jose has played 7 away games. During this time they scored 3 goals and have conceded 14. It may be surprising, but San Jose has one of the worst away scoring records in the league (1 every 2.33 games). This actually looks like a good game for Colorado’s defense and maybe their offense too.
- Away vs Chicago: Colorado has played 7 away games. During this time they have scored 6 goals and conceded 5. This means they are coring 1 goal every 1.17 games and let in 1 goal every game 1.40 games. Chicago has played 7 home games. During this time they have scored 9 goals and conceded 9. Colorado’s slightly better defensive record come against Chicago’s slightly better offensive record. This is a game that looks better for defenders than offense simply because it could end as a 0-0 draw. But it’s a 50/50 tossup. Risky, but potentially profitable.
Top Prospects: Clint Irwin is out top keeper pick for this week. On defense, take a look at Nathan Sturgis who is playing OOP in midfield but a more true midfielder is Drew Moor. Not many exciting midfielders. For forwards you have your pick of Atiba Harris or Deshorn Brown depending on your budget or current roster.
Week 16 Conclusion
I think Colorado may actually have the most attractive games this week and Vancouver is a close second. I think you can make a good case for Montreal, but it will depend on if they are able to tap back into that early form that they had.
Portland is facing a challenging home game against Dallas and the LA game looks bad on paper. If you think LA will continue to hand out goals like bank candy, then I put Portland on Par with Montreal.
Vancouver is a team I first looked to for 3 players, but the New England game just makes me worry too much about their ability to score. Portland and Montreal also have games that make me wonder if all three positions can come up big in both games.
The strangest thought I keep having is that it might be worth having 3 Colorado defensive players this week. Irwin might not be much of a differential, but maybe a couple of defenders? However you slice it, if you want to try to gain some points on some of the leaders, Week 16 offers a lot of good opportunities for that to happen.
These are how we I see the double match ups based on the numbers. Do you agree? How many double game players are you bringing in? Visit our forum at r/FantasyMLS and let us know or leave some feedback on this article.